COVID-Lab: Mapping COVID-19 in Your Community
Projected Cases for 4 Weeks
Projected Cases with Roll-back Scenarios
Social Distancing Over Time
Map of Current Cases
An interdisciplinary team from Children’s Hospital of Philadelphia and the University of Pennsylvania, alongside global experts, are tracking and projecting the COVID-19 epidemic across 747 counties with active outbreaks as it spreads across the United States. Utilizing data from a variety of publicly available sources, the researchers built their model to observe how social distancing, population density, and daily temperatures affect the number and spread of COVID-19 infections over time across a county, accounting for test positivity rates and population characteristics, such as age, insurance status and smoking prevalence. For social distancing, which the researchers have shown is most important factor in reducing transmission, the model uses cell phone movement data. For the latest comments on our findings from the lead researchers, read this blog post, to learn how the research team validates this model to ensure accurate projections, read this blog post, and to learn more about the methods behind this model, see this abstract. For more information on this project, click here or contact Dr. David Rubin (RUBIN@email.chop.edu).
*For best viewing capabilities, we recommend using Google Chrome or Internet Explorer. If you’re experiencing issues loading the “Projected Cases for 4 Weeks” tab click here or the “Projected Cases with Roll-back Scenarios” tab click here to view the graphs on an alternative platform.